Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UGA wins about 73% of the time at a number like ours.
UGA
Games
4
Plays per game
60.5
Drives per game
13.0
SP+
30.2 (1st, offence 1st, defence 1st)
Returning production
69% (pass 100%, rush 99%, receiving 35%)
SC
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
7.5 (48th, offence 39th, defence 51st)
Returning production
69% (pass 65%, rush 80%, receiving 67%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
UGA
SC
pass rate, all downs
47%74th
48%71st
pass rate, standard downs
46%39th
42%67th
pass rate, 1st down
44%59th
43%67th
no-huddle share
46%85th
52%80th
pass rate, passing downs
52%122nd
63%73rd
pass rate, red zone
44%40th
42%50th
seconds per play (own drives)
32.87th
26.0122nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
UGA offence
UGA offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.425
242
4 of 138
success rate
0.533
242
6 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.301
242
39 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.328
242
9 of 138
rush: success rate
0.516
242
18 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.068
242
28 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.567
242
9 of 138
pass: success rate
0.556
242
12 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.541
242
72 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.601
242
5 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.322
242
65 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.691
242
10 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.119
242
14 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.882
242
9 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.821
242
1 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.120
242
36 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.074
242
41 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.045
242
50 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
65.000
242
130 of 138
SC offence
SC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
51 of 138
success rate
0.476
296
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.228
296
68 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.302
296
14 of 138
rush: success rate
0.526
296
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.047
296
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.175
296
89 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
296
89 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.521
296
76 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
29 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
296
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.722
296
9 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.130
296
24 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
296
47 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.296
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
296
39 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.068
296
27 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.054
296
72 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
296
19 of 138
UGA defence
UGA defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.143
266
10 of 138
success rate
0.331
266
17 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.092
266
24 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.420
266
1 of 138
rush: success rate
0.267
266
4 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.496
266
5 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.067
266
49 of 138
pass: success rate
0.379
266
52 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.434
266
38 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.422
266
49 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.190
266
6 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.030
266
4 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.216
266
96 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.545
266
13 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.000
266
47 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.188
266
108 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.124
266
112 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.064
266
79 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.000
266
65 of 138
SC defence
SC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
235
104 of 138
success rate
0.362
235
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.556
235
137 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.052
235
38 of 138
rush: success rate
0.327
235
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.027
235
100 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.466
235
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.412
235
78 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.903
235
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.390
235
23 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.315
235
101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.293
235
14 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.243
235
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.636
235
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.059
235
134 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.136
235
35 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
235
54 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
235
34 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
235
61 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs