· away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-21 13:00 · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

MSST

Games4
Plays per game72.2
Drives per game11.8
SP+15.1 (18th, offence 10th, defence 47th)
Returning production34% (pass 0%, rush 87%, receiving 28%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceMSST
pass rate, all downs—48%70th
pass rate, standard downs—47%34th
pass rate, 1st down—49%24th
no-huddle share—85%33rd
pass rate, passing downs—51%127th
pass rate, red zone—46%33rd
seconds per play (own drives)—24.6131st

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

MSST offence

MSST offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.3832899 of 138
success rate0.51228916 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32028931 of 138
rush: points added per play0.32728910 of 138
rush: success rate0.5442898 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.01728951 of 138
pass: points added per play0.53128915 of 138
pass: success rate0.50028930 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.68628936 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.54328932 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.4322898 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34428934 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201289104 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.82428926 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.64528928 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11928935 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06728926 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05228965 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80028947 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

MSST defence

MSST defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.01829259 of 138
success rate0.37329255 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.14329239 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.00829255 of 138
rush: success rate0.35829239 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.72029217 of 138
pass: points added per play0.06729250 of 138
pass: success rate0.38829264 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.44129243 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.43729259 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.22129220 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.91129282 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15829230 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.60029224 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.16729258 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.18229297 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08229241 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.099292130 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.00029266 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs