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Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces VAN5.7% 10583rd5.6% ~1.8 sacks
VAN pass rush6.9% 10240th9.0% 19960thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th6.0% ~2.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

VAN with the ball

VAN offence vs MSST defenceVAN offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.082101st0.01859th-42
success rate0.41598th0.37355th-43
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.18093rd1.14339th-54
rush: points added per play0.16152nd-0.00855th+3
rush: success rate0.42193rd0.35839th-54
rush: explosiveness1.05834th0.72017th-17
pass: points added per play0.20281st0.06750th-31
pass: success rate0.44964th0.38864th0
pass: explosiveness1.301127th1.44143rd-84
standard downs: success rate0.47985th0.43759th-26
passing downs: success rate0.263110th0.22120th-90
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05081st2.91182nd+1
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15048th0.15830th-18
short-yardage conversion rate0.77355th0.60024th-31
points per trip inside the 403.120116th3.16758th-58
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12948th0.18297th+49
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08566th0.08241st-25
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04449th0.099130th+81
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80084th——

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs VAN defenceMSST offenceVAN defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.03934th+25
success rate0.51216th0.35030th+14
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.336107th+76
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.01949th+39
rush: success rate0.5448th0.38355th+47
rush: explosiveness1.01751st1.02297th+46
pass: points added per play0.53115th0.01132nd+17
pass: success rate0.50030th0.33620th-10
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.671104th+68
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.42148th+16
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.24535th+27
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.53934th0
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.20078th-26
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.789105th+79
points per trip inside the 404.64528th2.90543rd+15
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.185106th+71
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.11091st+65
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.075104th+39
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.