Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OU wins about 72% of the time at a number like ours.
SC
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
7.5 (48th, offence 39th, defence 51st)
Returning production
69% (pass 65%, rush 80%, receiving 67%)
OU
Games
4
Plays per game
63.8
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
12.8 (27th, offence 75th, defence 5th)
Returning production
63% (pass 92%, rush 122%, receiving 42%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
SC
OU
pass rate, all downs
48%71st
48%68th
pass rate, standard downs
42%67th
41%78th
pass rate, 1st down
43%67th
37%106th
no-huddle share
52%80th
28%104th
pass rate, passing downs
63%73rd
65%59th
pass rate, red zone
42%50th
38%68th
seconds per play (own drives)
26.0122nd
29.167th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
SC offence
SC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
51 of 138
success rate
0.476
296
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.228
296
68 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.302
296
14 of 138
rush: success rate
0.526
296
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.047
296
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.175
296
89 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
296
89 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.521
296
76 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
29 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
296
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.722
296
9 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.130
296
24 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
296
47 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.296
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
296
39 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.068
296
27 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.054
296
72 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
296
19 of 138
OU offence
OU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.045
255
129 of 138
success rate
0.392
255
113 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.112
255
123 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.260
255
137 of 138
rush: success rate
0.362
255
125 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.542
255
138 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.293
255
58 of 138
pass: success rate
0.431
255
75 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.714
255
31 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.432
255
123 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.304
255
77 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.603
255
126 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.223
255
124 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.462
255
136 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.389
255
102 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.157
255
89 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.118
255
123 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.039
255
33 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
72.400
255
42 of 138
SC defence
SC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
235
104 of 138
success rate
0.362
235
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.556
235
137 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.052
235
38 of 138
rush: success rate
0.327
235
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.027
235
100 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.466
235
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.412
235
78 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.903
235
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.390
235
23 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.315
235
101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.293
235
14 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.243
235
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.636
235
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.059
235
134 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.136
235
35 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
235
54 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
235
34 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
235
61 of 138
OU defence
OU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.182
227
2 of 138
success rate
0.304
227
6 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.235
227
74 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.104
227
27 of 138
rush: success rate
0.287
227
10 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.171
227
129 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.162
227
4 of 138
pass: success rate
0.337
227
22 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.322
227
16 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.333
227
4 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.247
227
37 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.364
227
20 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.194
227
70 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.583
227
21 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.083
227
8 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.216
227
128 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.145
227
128 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.070
227
96 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.100
227
5 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs