Mississippi State · away
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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
LSU pass rush12.7% 1343rd15.2% 2304thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th8.9% ~2.9 sacks
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces LSU5.1% 13767th5.3% ~1.7 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs LSU defenceMSST offenceLSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.1664th-5
success rate0.51216th0.3035th-11
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.18453rd+22
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.15516th+6
rush: success rate0.5448th0.33028th+20
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.72720th-31
pass: points added per play0.53115th-0.1802nd-13
pass: success rate0.50030th0.2814th-26
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.56374th+38
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.3547th-25
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.22724th+16
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.2009th-25
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.240113th+9
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.778100th+74
points per trip inside the 404.64528th3.857104th+76
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.224131st+96
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.154130th+104
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.07198th+33
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

LSU with the ball

LSU offence vs MSST defenceLSU offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.23648th0.01859th+11
success rate0.47840th0.37355th+15
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.28247th1.14339th-8
rush: points added per play0.17449th-0.00855th+6
rush: success rate0.46061st0.35839th-22
rush: explosiveness0.95873rd0.72017th-56
pass: points added per play0.34547th0.06750th+3
pass: success rate0.48935th0.38864th+29
pass: explosiveness1.71830th1.44143rd+13
standard downs: success rate0.50951st0.43759th+8
passing downs: success rate0.39818th0.22120th+2
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05279th2.91182nd+3
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14844th0.15830th-14
short-yardage conversion rate0.72086th0.60024th-62
points per trip inside the 404.06161st3.16758th-3
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167103rd0.18297th-6
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08871st0.08241st-30
havoc allowed by the secondary0.079124th0.099130th+6
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.400128th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.