Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). SC wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
SC
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
7.5 (48th, offence 39th, defence 51st)
Returning production
69% (pass 65%, rush 80%, receiving 67%)
FLA
Games
4
Plays per game
71.2
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
18.5 (12th, offence 9th, defence 31st)
Returning production
69% (pass 94%, rush 89%, receiving 52%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
SC
FLA
pass rate, all downs
48%71st
38%126th
pass rate, standard downs
42%67th
30%131st
pass rate, 1st down
43%67th
30%127th
no-huddle share
52%80th
58%75th
pass rate, passing downs
63%73rd
62%78th
pass rate, red zone
42%50th
23%124th
seconds per play (own drives)
26.0122nd
31.122nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
SC offence
SC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
51 of 138
success rate
0.476
296
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.228
296
68 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.302
296
14 of 138
rush: success rate
0.526
296
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.047
296
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.175
296
89 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
296
89 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.521
296
76 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
29 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
296
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.722
296
9 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.130
296
24 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
296
47 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.296
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
296
39 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.068
296
27 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.054
296
72 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
296
19 of 138
FLA offence
FLA offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.413
285
7 of 138
success rate
0.516
285
10 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.302
285
37 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.341
285
6 of 138
rush: success rate
0.480
285
40 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.133
285
15 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.599
285
8 of 138
pass: success rate
0.585
285
5 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.557
285
68 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.571
285
11 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.356
285
43 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.232
285
53 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.133
285
29 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
1.000
285
1 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.548
285
2 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.091
285
10 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.053
285
14 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.039
285
31 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.400
285
114 of 138
SC defence
SC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
235
104 of 138
success rate
0.362
235
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.556
235
137 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.052
235
38 of 138
rush: success rate
0.327
235
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.027
235
100 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.466
235
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.412
235
78 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.903
235
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.390
235
23 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.315
235
101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.293
235
14 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.243
235
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.636
235
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.059
235
134 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.136
235
35 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
235
54 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
235
34 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
235
61 of 138
FLA defence
FLA defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.036
289
36 of 138
success rate
0.405
289
77 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.146
289
41 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.063
289
35 of 138
rush: success rate
0.391
289
60 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.880
289
57 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.116
289
65 of 138
pass: success rate
0.429
289
98 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.305
289
15 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.443
289
63 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.314
289
99 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.046
289
102 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.109
289
2 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.722
289
71 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.045
289
115 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.204
289
120 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.114
289
96 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.090
289
127 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.200
289
93 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs