Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). SC wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
UK
Games
4
Plays per game
63.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
8.0 (44th, offence 40th, defence 47th)
Returning production
19% (pass -3%, rush -9%, receiving 35%)
SC
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
7.5 (48th, offence 39th, defence 51st)
Returning production
69% (pass 65%, rush 80%, receiving 67%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
UK
SC
pass rate, all downs
45%97th
48%71st
pass rate, standard downs
42%68th
42%67th
pass rate, 1st down
39%96th
43%67th
no-huddle share
14%117th
52%80th
pass rate, red zone
33%96th
42%50th
pass rate, passing downs
56%109th
63%73rd
seconds per play (own drives)
30.535th
26.0122nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
UK offence
UK offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.236
252
47 of 138
success rate
0.516
252
12 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.203
252
84 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.209
252
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.548
252
7 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.948
252
75 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.267
252
66 of 138
pass: success rate
0.463
252
53 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.584
252
60 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.571
252
12 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.321
252
66 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.460
252
25 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.156
252
56 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.765
252
57 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.875
252
20 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.135
252
61 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.091
252
77 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.044
252
47 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.100
252
96 of 138
SC offence
SC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
51 of 138
success rate
0.476
296
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.228
296
68 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.302
296
14 of 138
rush: success rate
0.526
296
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.047
296
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.175
296
89 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
296
89 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.521
296
76 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
29 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
296
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.722
296
9 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.130
296
24 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
296
47 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.296
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
296
39 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.068
296
27 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.054
296
72 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
296
19 of 138
UK defence
UK defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.016
290
57 of 138
success rate
0.417
290
88 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.190
290
55 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.141
290
113 of 138
rush: success rate
0.432
290
93 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.077
290
114 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.037
290
20 of 138
pass: success rate
0.418
290
87 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.287
290
11 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.448
290
69 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.348
290
121 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.806
290
65 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.168
290
35 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.778
290
99 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.577
290
82 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.183
290
100 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.083
290
43 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.100
290
134 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.900
290
24 of 138
SC defence
SC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
235
104 of 138
success rate
0.362
235
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.556
235
137 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.052
235
38 of 138
rush: success rate
0.327
235
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.027
235
100 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.466
235
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.412
235
78 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.903
235
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.390
235
23 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.315
235
101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.293
235
14 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.243
235
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.636
235
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.059
235
134 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.136
235
35 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
235
54 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
235
34 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
235
61 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs