Alabama · away
at
ALA -6
Saturday 2026-10-03 12:00 · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces ALA5.9% 11885th5.7% ~1.9 sacks
ALA pass rush8.5% 11822nd9.9% 23345thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th6.8% ~2.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ALA with the ball

ALA offence vs MSST defenceALA offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.32716th0.01859th+43
success rate0.49429th0.37355th+26
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.33226th1.14339th+13
rush: points added per play0.23728th-0.00855th+27
rush: success rate0.50024th0.35839th+15
rush: explosiveness1.10721st0.72017th-4
pass: points added per play0.47020th0.06750th+30
pass: success rate0.49134th0.38864th+30
pass: explosiveness1.62852nd1.44143rd-9
standard downs: success rate0.54133rd0.43759th+26
passing downs: success rate0.37033rd0.22120th-13
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.99389th2.91182nd-7
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.209111th0.15830th-81
short-yardage conversion rate0.77849th0.60024th-25
points per trip inside the 405.3574th3.16758th+54
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15484th0.18297th+13
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09790th0.08241st-49
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05675th0.099130th+55
average starting field position (yards from own goal)66.400122nd——

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs ALA defenceMSST offenceALA defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th-0.09820th+11
success rate0.51216th0.34123rd+7
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.382122nd+91
rush: points added per play0.32710th-0.17413th+3
rush: success rate0.5448th0.31115th+7
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.91369th+18
pass: points added per play0.53115th-0.01827th+12
pass: success rate0.50030th0.35832nd+2
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.826124th+88
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.39124th-8
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.25040th+32
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.1988th-26
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.244116th+12
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.56214th-12
points per trip inside the 404.64528th3.824101st+73
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.189111th+76
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.10887th+61
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.080114th+49
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.