Mississippi State · away
at
Final MSST 38 – 13 MINN
Saturday 2026-09-12 15:30 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Minnesota · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MINN pass rush9.3% 9716th14.5% 1796thfaces MSST5.1% 13670th7.2% ~2.4 sacks
MSST pass rush5.5% 16560th8.8% 28572ndfaces MINN2.7% 11120th4.1% ~1.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSST with the ball

MSST offence vs MINN defenceMSST offenceMINN defencerank gap
points added per play0.3839th0.04172nd+63
success rate0.51216th0.37052nd+36
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32031st1.20561st+30
rush: points added per play0.32710th0.07486th+76
rush: success rate0.5448th0.38757th+49
rush: explosiveness1.01751st0.87047th-4
pass: points added per play0.53115th0.18082nd+67
pass: success rate0.50030th0.36945th+15
pass: explosiveness1.68636th1.54368th+32
standard downs: success rate0.54332nd0.42046th+14
passing downs: success rate0.4328th0.27562nd+54
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.34434th2.68054th+20
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.201104th0.270131st+27
short-yardage conversion rate0.82426th0.57117th-9
points per trip inside the 404.64528th4.471127th+99
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11935th0.237133rd+98
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06726th0.172135th+109
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05265th0.06583rd+18
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.80047th——

MINN with the ball

MINN offence vs MSST defenceMINN offenceMSST defencerank gap
points added per play0.12981st0.01859th-22
success rate0.47047th0.37355th+8
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.092126th1.14339th-87
rush: points added per play0.023107th-0.00855th-52
rush: success rate0.47444th0.35839th-5
rush: explosiveness0.747126th0.72017th-109
pass: points added per play0.27364th0.06750th-14
pass: success rate0.47944th0.38864th+20
pass: explosiveness1.355120th1.44143rd-77
standard downs: success rate0.56018th0.43759th+41
passing downs: success rate0.233124th0.22120th-104
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.498134th2.91182nd-52
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.241132nd0.15830th-102
short-yardage conversion rate0.640111th0.60024th-87
points per trip inside the 403.50094th3.16758th-36
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14372nd0.18297th+25
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09485th0.08241st-44
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04961st0.099130th+69
average starting field position (yards from own goal)63.600135th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.