Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UGA wins about 100% of the time at a number like ours.
WKU
Games
4
Plays per game
71.2
Drives per game
12.8
SP+
-16.4 (123rd, offence 107th, defence 131st)
Returning production
84% (pass 95%, rush 55%, receiving 85%)
UGA
Games
4
Plays per game
60.5
Drives per game
13.0
SP+
30.2 (1st, offence 1st, defence 1st)
Returning production
69% (pass 100%, rush 99%, receiving 35%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WKU
UGA
pass rate, all downs
52%39th
47%74th
pass rate, standard downs
44%49th
46%39th
pass rate, 1st down
42%80th
44%59th
no-huddle share
75%54th
46%85th
pass rate, passing downs
66%54th
52%122nd
pass rate, red zone
50%22nd
44%40th
seconds per play (own drives)
26.0123rd
32.87th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WKU offence
WKU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.006
285
121 of 138
success rate
0.375
285
121 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.261
285
56 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.105
285
133 of 138
rush: success rate
0.406
285
100 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.720
285
128 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.125
285
101 of 138
pass: success rate
0.359
285
124 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.856
285
13 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.433
285
122 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.276
285
100 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.695
285
120 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.239
285
130 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.714
285
92 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.667
285
83 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.154
285
85 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.119
285
125 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.035
285
21 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.500
285
70 of 138
UGA offence
UGA offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.425
242
4 of 138
success rate
0.533
242
6 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.301
242
39 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.328
242
9 of 138
rush: success rate
0.516
242
18 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.068
242
28 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.567
242
9 of 138
pass: success rate
0.556
242
12 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.541
242
72 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.601
242
5 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.322
242
65 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.691
242
10 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.119
242
14 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.882
242
9 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.821
242
1 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.120
242
36 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.074
242
41 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.045
242
50 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
65.000
242
130 of 138
WKU defence
WKU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.303
258
134 of 138
success rate
0.446
258
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.460
258
134 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.341
258
137 of 138
rush: success rate
0.464
258
121 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.232
258
134 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.242
258
95 of 138
pass: success rate
0.429
258
100 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.727
258
116 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.495
258
108 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.329
258
112 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.504
258
136 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.145
258
20 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.850
258
123 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.962
258
131 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.128
258
23 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.074
258
27 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.054
258
50 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.700
258
87 of 138
UGA defence
UGA defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.143
266
10 of 138
success rate
0.331
266
17 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.092
266
24 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.420
266
1 of 138
rush: success rate
0.267
266
4 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.496
266
5 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.067
266
49 of 138
pass: success rate
0.379
266
52 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.434
266
38 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.422
266
49 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.190
266
6 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.030
266
4 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.216
266
96 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.545
266
13 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.000
266
47 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.188
266
108 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.124
266
112 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.064
266
79 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.000
266
65 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs