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Final null 9 – 28 VAN
Saturday 2026-09-05 19:00 · FirstBank Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

VAN

Games4
Plays per game68.0
Drives per game11.0
SP+7.5 (48th, offence 46th, defence 45th)
Returning production35% (pass 9%, rush 50%, receiving 50%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceVAN
pass rate, all downs—50%54th
pass rate, standard downs—43%57th
pass rate, 1st down—49%31st
no-huddle share—51%82nd
pass rate, red zone—39%67th
pass rate, passing downs—68%50th
seconds per play (own drives)—29.950th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

VAN offence

VAN offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.082272101 of 138
success rate0.41527298 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.18027293 of 138
rush: points added per play0.16127252 of 138
rush: success rate0.42127293 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.05827234 of 138
pass: points added per play0.20227281 of 138
pass: success rate0.44927264 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.301272127 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.47927285 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.263272110 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05027281 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15027248 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.77327255 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.120272116 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12927248 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08527266 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04427249 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80027284 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

VAN defence

VAN defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.03925434 of 138
success rate0.35025430 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.336254107 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.01925449 of 138
rush: success rate0.38325455 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.02225497 of 138
pass: points added per play0.01125432 of 138
pass: success rate0.33625420 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.671254104 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.42125448 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.24525435 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.53925434 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.20025478 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.789254105 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.90525443 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.185254106 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.11025491 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.075254104 of 138
opponent average starting field position75.100254120 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs