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Final null 14 – 54 MIZ
Thursday 2026-09-03 20:00 · Memorial Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

MIZ

Games4
Plays per game70.0
Drives per game12.8
SP+13.7 (25th, offence 40th, defence 14th)
Returning production42% (pass -2%, rush 78%, receiving 33%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceMIZ
pass rate, all downs—47%79th
pass rate, standard downs—39%90th
pass rate, 1st down—34%116th
no-huddle share—92%19th
pass rate, passing downs—63%70th
pass rate, red zone—29%112th
seconds per play (own drives)—27.398th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

MIZ offence

MIZ offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.19928060 of 138
success rate0.43628075 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23828064 of 138
rush: points added per play0.04228098 of 138
rush: success rate0.400280104 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.768280121 of 138
pass: points added per play0.45928023 of 138
pass: success rate0.47228049 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.67228038 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.48428079 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.33028057 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.09928071 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17228076 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.69228096 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.72228080 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.168280106 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08628068 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.082280128 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)61.500280137 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

MIZ defence

MIZ defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.00427148 of 138
success rate0.35427136 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.412271126 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.00227158 of 138
rush: success rate0.36327141 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.074271111 of 138
pass: points added per play0.07127153 of 138
pass: success rate0.35127127 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.696271109 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.40027130 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.28327173 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.48127128 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.244271117 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.867271126 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.26327162 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.221271130 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.133271118 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.089271126 of 138
opponent average starting field position76.200271130 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs