Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). FLA wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
FAU
Games
4
Plays per game
82.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-4.2 (87th, offence 64th, defence 106th)
Returning production
68% (pass 93%, rush 107%, receiving 48%)
FLA
Games
4
Plays per game
71.2
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
18.5 (12th, offence 9th, defence 31st)
Returning production
69% (pass 94%, rush 89%, receiving 52%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
FAU
FLA
pass rate, all downs
54%28th
38%126th
pass rate, standard downs
48%25th
30%131st
pass rate, 1st down
53%13th
30%127th
no-huddle share
98%7th
58%75th
pass rate, passing downs
68%46th
62%78th
pass rate, red zone
53%12th
23%124th
seconds per play (own drives)
22.5137th
31.122nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
FAU offence
FAU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.142
330
74 of 138
success rate
0.436
330
74 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.151
330
107 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.055
330
91 of 138
rush: success rate
0.387
330
113 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.976
330
66 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.230
330
73 of 138
pass: success rate
0.482
330
42 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.287
330
129 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.466
330
94 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
330
36 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.746
330
117 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.167
330
66 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.793
330
42 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.962
330
68 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.145
330
74 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
330
61 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.061
330
86 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
330
90 of 138
FLA offence
FLA offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.413
285
7 of 138
success rate
0.516
285
10 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.302
285
37 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.341
285
6 of 138
rush: success rate
0.480
285
40 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.133
285
15 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.599
285
8 of 138
pass: success rate
0.585
285
5 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.557
285
68 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.571
285
11 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.356
285
43 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.232
285
53 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.133
285
29 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
1.000
285
1 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.548
285
2 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.091
285
10 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.053
285
14 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.039
285
31 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.400
285
114 of 138
FAU defence
FAU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.209
259
122 of 138
success rate
0.405
259
78 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.543
259
136 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.171
259
120 of 138
rush: success rate
0.389
259
58 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.172
259
130 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.288
259
109 of 138
pass: success rate
0.427
259
97 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.875
259
132 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.463
259
81 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
259
76 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.805
259
64 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
259
62 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.857
259
124 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.227
259
120 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
259
62 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
259
52 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.069
259
93 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.100
259
92 of 138
FLA defence
FLA defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.036
289
36 of 138
success rate
0.405
289
77 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.146
289
41 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.063
289
35 of 138
rush: success rate
0.391
289
60 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.880
289
57 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.116
289
65 of 138
pass: success rate
0.429
289
98 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.305
289
15 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.443
289
63 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.314
289
99 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.046
289
102 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.109
289
2 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.722
289
71 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.045
289
115 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.204
289
120 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.114
289
96 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.090
289
127 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.200
289
93 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs