Win chance
CGY winsDraftKings 55%Ours 53%
SEA winsours is 2.3 pts toward CGY
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | SEA wins | CGY wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 55.1% | 44.9% | moneyline +114 / -135, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 55.0% | 45.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 52.8% | 47.2% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts last season / most starts last season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| CGY | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| SEA | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| CGY | 0 | yes | yes | 192 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 0 | yes | yes | 907 | -1 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| CGY | Jonathan Huberdeau | Injured Reserve | Huberdeau (hip) was placed on injured reserve Monday, per Pat Steinberg of QR Calgary 770 AM. |
| CGY | Henry Mews | Out | out |
| SEA | Jake O'Brien | Injured Reserve | O'Brien (lower body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve Wednesday. |
| SEA | Mackie Samoskevich | Injured Reserve | ir |