Win chance
NJD winsDraftKings 52%Ours 52%
NYI winswe match the market
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | NYI wins | NJD wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 51.7% | 48.3% | moneyline -102 / -118, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 49.5% | 50.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 52.1% | 47.9% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts last season / most starts this season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| NJD | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| NYI | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| NJD | 1 | no | no | 38 | 0 | 1 |
| NYI | 2 | no | no | 568 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| NJD | Connor Brown | Out | out |
| NJD | Johnathan Kovacevic | Injured Reserve | Kovacevic (knee) will begin the 2026-27 regular season on the injured non-roster list, per Mike Morreale of NHL.com. |
| NJD | Nick Bjugstad | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| NJD | Seamus Casey | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| NYI | Mathew Barzal | Injured Reserve | Barzal (knee) might resume skating this weekend or early next week, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports Wednesday. |