Win chance
CHI winsDraftKings 66%Ours 68%
BUF winsours is 2.5 pts toward BUF
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | BUF wins | CHI wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 65.8% | 34.3% | moneyline +180 / -218, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | — | — | not posted yet |
| Kalshi | 66.0% | 34.0% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 68.2% | 31.8% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: most starts this season / most starts last season |
| DRatings public model | — | — | not published yet |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| CHI | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| BUF | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| CHI | 1 | no | no | 2729 | +2 | 3 |
| BUF | 1 | no | no | 472 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| BUF | Alex Lyon | Injured Reserve | ir |
| BUF | Olen Zellweger | Injured Reserve | ir |
| BUF | Conor Timmins | Injured Reserve | Timmins (lower body) doesn't have a timeline for his return yet, according to Heather Engel of NHL.com on Tuesday. |
| BUF | Topias Leinonen | Injured Reserve | Leinonen (lower body) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday. |
| BUF | Jack Rathbone | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| BUF | Jason Zucker | Injured Reserve | ir |
| CHI | Andrew Mangiapane | Out | Mangiapane sustained a lower-body injury Tuesday versus the Golden Knights that will keep him out for at least the next two games, Mark Lazerus of The Athletic reports. |
| CHI | Connor Bedard | Injured Reserve | General manager Kyle Davidson told reporters Tuesday that the Blackhawks don't have a firm timeline for Bedard's return from shoulder surgery, Ben Pope of the Chicago Sun-Times reports. |