| 111 | Will there be a total solar eclipse on June 25, 2522? | total-solar-eclipse-in-2522 | Environment & Climate | 0.96 | 311 | 2522-06-23T23:00:00Z | 2522-06-26T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 349 | Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030? | spacex-lands-people-on-mars-by-2030 | Technology | 0.00 | 4404 | 2029-12-31T23:19:37Z | 2030-01-02T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 353 | Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? | someone-born-before-2001-lives-to-150 | Social Sciences | 0.30 | 1631 | 2151-01-01T01:00:00Z | 2151-01-03T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 372 | Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital ... | brain-emulation-produces-first-human-ai | Natural Sciences | 0.01 | 435 | 2060-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2060-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 375 | Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leav... | major-state-exits-eu-before-2027 | Geopolitics | 0.00 | 974 | 2026-12-31T23:59:00Z | 2027-01-31T23:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 384 | Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040? | humanmachine-intelligence-parity-by-2040 | Technology | 0.96 | 2975 | 2035-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2040-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 491 | Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030? | china-co2-emissions-reduction-by-60-by-2030 | Environment & Climate | 0.69 | 286 | 2030-01-01T08:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 492 | Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 20... | nuclear-power-renounces-nukes-by-2035 | Geopolitics | 0.01 | 294 | 2034-12-31T08:00:00Z | 2035-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 578 | Will humans go extinct before 2100? | human-extinction-by-2100 | Technology | 0.02 | 1698 | 2100-01-02T00:00:00Z | 2100-01-02T00:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 585 | Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100? | 2-c-global-warming-by-2100 | Environment & Climate | 0.98 | 555 | 2100-01-02T00:00:00Z | 2100-06-14T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 594 | Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050? | increased-off-world-population-in-2050 | Economy & Business | 0.96 | 464 | 2050-12-31T17:00:00Z | 2051-01-01T17:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 610 | Will a world war begin before 2151? | world-war-by-2151 | Geopolitics | 0.60 | 417 | 2161-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2161-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 614 | Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100? | vegan-country-by-2100 | Environment & Climate | 0.21 | 344 | 2100-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2100-01-01T00:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 665 | Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050? | kessler-syndrome-by-2050 | Economy & Business | 0.15 | 454 | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 686 | Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030? | human-spacecraft-in-venus-atmosphere-by-2030 | Technology | 0.19 | 398 | 2029-12-31T08:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 737 | Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030? | spacex-mars-mission-by-2030 | Economy & Business | 0.10 | 2823 | 2029-12-31T10:32:00Z | 2030-01-01T10:35:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 797 | Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035? | puerto-rico-becomes-us-state-by-2035 | Politics | 0.20 | 384 | 2035-01-01T08:00:00Z | 2035-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 808 | Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if ... | life-discovered-on-europa-before-2045 | Economy & Business | 0.25 | 293 | 2045-01-01T08:00:00Z | 2045-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 824 | Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China? | first-fusion-reactor-in-china | Natural Sciences | 0.25 | 336 | 2050-01-01T08:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 841 | Will Metaculus exist in 2030? | metaculus-existence-in-2030 | Metaculus | 0.97 | 538 | 2030-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T00:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 917 | Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100? | space-elevator-on-earth-by-2100 | Economy & Business | 0.09 | 334 | 2100-01-01T08:00:00Z | 2101-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 980 | Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035? | tesla-largest-car-company-by-2035 | Economy & Business | 0.02 | 487 | 2035-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2035-12-31T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1002 | Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100? | progress-in-human-longevity-by-2100 | Health & Pandemics | 0.97 | 444 | 2099-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2099-12-31T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1394 | Will AI progress surprise us by predictions of AGI jumping sharply? | will-ai-progress-surprise-metaculus | Technology | 0.75 | 538 | 2035-01-01T16:01:00Z | 2040-12-30T16:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1432 | Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100? | sustainable-off-earth-human-colony-by-2100 | Economy & Business | 0.40 | 642 | 2099-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2099-12-31T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1476 | Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030? | nasa-lands-people-on-mars-before-2030 | Technology | 0.00 | 368 | 2029-12-31T22:00:00Z | 2029-12-31T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1493 | By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of... | global-population-decline-10-by-2100 | — | 0.40 | 420 | 2100-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2100-01-02T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1494 | Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nucl... | gc-to-be-caused-by-nuclear-war-if-it-occurs | Nuclear Technology & Risks | 0.31 | 286 | 2100-01-01T23:59:00Z | 2100-01-01T23:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1495 | Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an a... | gc-to-be-caused-by-ai-if-it-occurs | Computing and Math | 0.30 | 460 | 2100-01-01T23:00:00Z | 2100-01-31T23:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1500 | Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to eith... | gc-caused-by-climate-meddling-if-it-occurs | Environment & Climate | 0.10 | 293 | 2100-01-01T23:59:00Z | 2100-06-01T22:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1579 | Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041? | chinese-gdp-greater-than-us-by-2041 | Economy & Business | 0.63 | 425 | 2042-12-31T23:59:00Z | 2043-01-02T00:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1598 | Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars? | elon-musk-personally-goes-to-mars | Economy & Business | 0.04 | 443 | 2095-01-01T17:00:00Z | 2095-01-01T17:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1626 | Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year ... | before-1-january-2050-will-any-human-cryonically-preserved-for-at-least-1-year-b... | Natural Sciences | 0.02 | 283 | 2035-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1629 | Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050? | alien-technosignature-detection-by-2050 | Natural Sciences | 0.02 | 587 | 2049-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1638 | Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030? | alex-jones-holds-us-office-by-2030 | Elections | 0.01 | 309 | 2030-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T00:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1646 | Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100? | human-condition-to-change-before-2100 | Technology | 0.96 | 283 | 2100-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2100-01-02T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 1651 | Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2... | breakthrough-in-protein-prediction-by-2031 | Natural Sciences | 0.99 | 298 | 2031-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2031-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 2513 | Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will... | ai-catastrophe-to-cause-near-extinction | — | 0.30 | 325 | 2099-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2101-06-15T22:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 2534 | Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050? | world-war-three-before-2050 | Geopolitics | 0.25 | 3321 | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T00:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 3458 | Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030? | impactful-longevity-research-by-2030 | Social Sciences | 0.53 | 287 | 2030-01-01T07:59:00Z | 2030-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 3519 | One Million Martian Residents by 2075? | one-million-martians-by-2075 | Technology | 0.01 | 370 | 2075-01-01T04:59:00Z | 2075-01-01T04:59:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 3620 | Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050? | china-recognizes-taiwans-sovereignty-by-2050 | Geopolitics | 0.05 | 291 | 2049-12-31T08:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 3648 | Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet? | longbets-turing-test-2029 | Computing and Math | 0.85 | 528 | 2029-12-31T08:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 3834 | Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be disc... | extraterrestrial-life-discovered-by-2050 | Natural Sciences | 0.23 | 1953 | 2049-12-31T22:00:00Z | 2049-12-31T22:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 4118 | Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human... | asi-transition-beneficial-for-humanity | Computing and Math | 0.50 | 466 | 2300-01-01T06:00:00Z | 2300-01-01T08:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 4779 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050? | at-least-1-nuclear-detonation-in-war-by-2050 | Geopolitics | 0.33 | 522 | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2050-01-01T00:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 4922 | Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027? | us-china-war-by-2027 | Geopolitics | 0.01 | 305 | 2026-12-30T13:00:00Z | 2027-01-30T13:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 5048 | Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030? | uk-rejoins-eu-before-2030 | Politics | 0.01 | 290 | 2029-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2029-12-31T23:00:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 5253 | Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? | iran-obtains-nuclear-weapon-by-2030 | Geopolitics | 0.05 | 678 | 2030-01-01T17:00:00Z | 2030-01-01T17:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |
| 5255 | Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035? | confirmation-of-life-on-venus-by-2035 | Economy & Business | 0.01 | 341 | 2034-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2034-12-31T23:01:00Z | Apr 1 6:00 AM |