Tennis Desk Data Inventory

Version: 3.0 | Date: 2026-04-03 | Database: research-pipeline.db

Edge Detection

Table Rows Source Schedule Key
sports_edges (tennis_atp, ml) 52 Pinnacle de-vig vs Kalshi 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-match
sports_edges (tennis_atp, total) 6 Markov chain vs Kalshi alt-lines 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-total
sports_edges (tennis_atp, setwinner) 14 Markov chain vs Kalshi 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-setwinner
sports_edges (tennis_atp, setscore) Markov chain vs Kalshi exact scores 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-setscore
sports_edges (tennis_atp, spread) Markov chain vs Kalshi game spreads 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-spread
sports_edges (tennis_atp, outright) 582 Monte Carlo 100K bracket sims 8AM/10AM/2PM/6PM tennis-edge-outright
market_implied_curves (tennis) Kalshi alt-line ladders Every 30min implied-curves-tennis
tennis_integrity_config 6 Static config On change tennis-integrity

Odds & Prices

Table Rows Source Schedule Key
sports_odds_snapshots (Kalshi tennis) 497,964 Kalshi API Every 30min kalshi-tennis
sports_odds_snapshots (Pinnacle tennis) 34 Odds API (dynamic discovery) Adaptive pinnacle-tennis

Stats

Table Rows Source Schedule Key
tennis_matches 15,611 Sackmann GitHub CSV Weekly tennis-sackmann
tennis_serve_stats 32,518 Sackmann GitHub CSV Weekly tennis-sackmann
tennis_players 1,231 Sackmann CSV Weekly tennis-sackmann
tennis_rankings 3,613 Sackmann CSV Weekly tennis-rankings
tennis_tournaments 811 Built from match history Weekly tennis-tournaments
tennis_draws 31,222 Built from match results Weekly tennis-draws
tennis_h2h 354 Computed from matches Weekly tennis-h2h
tennis_weather 312 Open-Meteo API (24 venues) Hourly tennis-weather
tennis_abstract_stats 50 TennisAbstract scrape Weekly tennis-abstract

Computed Analytics

Table Rows Source Schedule Key
tennis_surface_baselines 1,099 Computed from serve stats Weekly tennis-baselines
tennis_custom_metrics 1,099 SA-Elo + Log5 + clutch Weekly tennis-elo / tennis-metrics
tennis_fatigue 8 Computed from match history Daily tennis-fatigue
tennis_wta_calibration 7 ATP vs WTA parameter comparison Weekly tennis-wta-calibration

Key Parameters

Parameter Value
SA-Elo blend 0.5 overall + 0.3 surface + 0.2 recent
Min edge 4 cents
Kalshi fee 7% on profit
Kelly fraction (match) 1/8
H2H min meetings 3
Elo stabilization ATP 30/50, WTA ~40
Integrity kill-switch 40c move on Challenger/ITF

Freshness Thresholds

Type Freq (min) Threshold (min)
Weekly scrapers 10080 10095
Daily (fatigue) 1440 1455
Hourly (weather) 60 75
Edge scanner (4x daily) 360 375
Kalshi (30min) 30 45
Pinnacle (adaptive) 120 135
Implied curves (30min) 30 45

Deferred (needs more data)

Item Status
WTA edge scanner Needs Pinnacle WTA data; dynamic resolver deployed
Source: ~/edgeclaw/results/spec-panel/sports-desk/tennis-desk-data-inventory.md