NBA Custom Calculations

De-vigged probabilities, model vs market comparison, steam detection, edge output — last 24 hours
Edges (24h)
100
Executable
20
Steam Moves
0
Avg Net Edge
10.13%
De-Vig Methods
implied, shin

Team Form Deltas

Positive = playing above season baseline (hot). Negative = slumping below baseline. Sorted by DRatings delta.

Team DR Standard DR Inference DR Delta Sag Predictor Sag Recent Sag Delta DR Overall DR Vegas SOS
New York Knicks 0.5347 0.9038 ▲ +0.3691 99.62101.62▲ +2.00 0.6310 0.4573 0.0099
San Antonio Spurs 0.8133 1.1303 ▲ +0.3170 99.92102.27▲ +2.35 0.8838 0.7099 0.0335
Charlotte Hornets 0.2774 0.5732 ▲ +0.2958 94.7097.26▲ +2.56 0.3699 0.2620 0.0128
Detroit Pistons 0.5627 0.7991 ▲ +0.2364 97.2097.57– +0.37 0.6397 0.5597 0.0482
Oklahoma City Thunder 0.9661 1.1513 ▲ +0.1852 101.87102.36– +0.49 1.0538 1.0466 0.0832
Boston Celtics 0.5175 0.6806 ▲ +0.1631 96.3697.28▲ +0.92 0.5804 0.5449 0.0665
Denver Nuggets 0.4198 0.5676 ▲ +0.1478 95.0893.75▼ -1.33 0.4855 0.4711 0.0358
Toronto Raptors 0.1511 0.2927 ▲ +0.1416 93.1393.27– +0.14 0.1957 0.1447 0.0701
Cleveland Cavaliers 0.4119 0.5019 ▲ +0.0900 94.4394.03– -0.40 0.4897 0.5578 0.0104
Phoenix Suns 0.0914 0.1733 ▲ +0.0819 90.6189.88▼ -0.73 0.1218 0.1015 -0.0275
Houston Rockets 0.3100 0.3914 ▲ +0.0814 94.3392.82▼ -1.51 0.4085 0.5272 0.0003
Los Angeles Clippers 0.0905 0.1660 ▲ +0.0755 91.9790.25▼ -1.72 0.1404 0.1662 0.0205
Miami Heat 0.0057 0.0503 – +0.0446 90.9591.23– +0.28 0.0638 0.1371 0.0276
Orlando Magic 0.1742 0.1856 – +0.0114 91.6392.04– +0.41 0.1712 0.1536 0.0588
Atlanta Hawks 0.2294 0.2316 – +0.0022 92.2392.30– +0.07 0.2108 0.1708 0.0122
New Orleans Pelicans -0.4273 -0.4360 – -0.0087 86.5888.21▲ +1.63 -0.3957 -0.3229 -0.0229
Los Angeles Lakers 0.3975 0.3705 – -0.0270 92.8193.00– +0.19 0.3246 0.2037 -0.0143
Minnesota Timberwolves 0.3306 0.3013 – -0.0293 92.9493.52▲ +0.58 0.2924 0.2440 0.0314
Golden State Warriors -0.1982 -0.2287 – -0.0305 88.2584.20▼ -4.05 -0.1327 0.0307 -0.0206
Portland Trail Blazers 0.0896 0.0462 – -0.0434 90.2893.12▲ +2.84 0.0600 0.0434 0.0418
Philadelphia 76ers 0.1581 0.0777 ▼ -0.0804 89.3690.93▲ +1.57 0.0764 -0.0089 -0.0156
Indiana Pacers -0.7178 -0.8067 ▼ -0.0889 83.8384.03– +0.20 -0.7413 -0.7002 0.0313
Utah Jazz -0.7764 -0.9098 ▼ -0.1334 80.8780.14▼ -0.73 -0.8341 -0.8178 0.0026
Dallas Mavericks -0.5353 -0.7094 ▼ -0.1741 84.7083.98▼ -0.72 -0.5786 -0.4923 0.0252
Chicago Bulls -0.4554 -0.6660 ▼ -0.2106 83.7682.31▼ -1.45 -0.5153 -0.4264 0.0342
Washington Wizards -0.9493 -1.2136 ▼ -0.2643 77.8976.82▼ -1.07 -1.0634 -1.0308 -0.0100
Sacramento Kings -0.6363 -0.9019 ▼ -0.2656 81.4682.28▲ +0.82 -0.7848 -0.8208 0.0182
Brooklyn Nets -0.7925 -1.0668 ▼ -0.2743 78.3977.30▼ -1.09 -0.9034 -0.8543 0.0675
Milwaukee Bucks -0.3602 -0.6697 ▼ -0.3095 83.0780.46▼ -2.61 -0.4778 -0.4072 0.0131
Memphis Grizzlies -0.7104 -1.0397 ▼ -0.3293 81.7876.69▼ -5.09 -0.8080 -0.6769 0.0364

Edge Scanner Output

Ticker Type Line Side De-Vig Model Prob Kalshi Price Raw Edge Net Edge Exec? Tail Pinnacle Steam Time
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC122 teamTotal 122 no implied 99.2% 78.0% 21.21% 19.68% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC119 teamTotal 119 no implied 97.5% 70.0% 27.48% 25.44% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC116 teamTotal 116 no implied 93.3% 57.0% 36.35% 33.54% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC113 teamTotal 113 no implied 85.3% 48.0% 37.26% 34.16% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC110 teamTotal 110 no implied 72.3% 37.0% 35.34% 32.15% no medium 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC107 teamTotal 107 no implied 55.5% 27.0% 28.50% 25.67% no high 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC104 teamTotal 104 no implied 37.6% 19.0% 18.59% 16.46% YES high 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC101 teamTotal 101 no implied 22.0% 12.0% 10.03% 8.68% YES medium 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL98 teamTotal 98 no implied 54.1% 42.0% 12.08% 9.89% YES high 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL95 teamTotal 95 no implied 42.5% 31.0% 11.50% 9.45% YES high 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL92 teamTotal 92 no implied 31.5% 22.0% 9.54% 7.81% YES medium 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL89 teamTotal 89 yes implied 22.0% 13.0% 9.00% 7.66% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL113 teamTotal 113 no implied 94.1% 87.0% 7.07% 6.21% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL110 teamTotal 110 no implied 89.8% 81.0% 8.77% 7.58% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL107 teamTotal 107 no implied 83.6% 74.0% 9.58% 8.06% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL104 teamTotal 104 no implied 75.3% 65.0% 10.35% 8.51% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL101 teamTotal 101 no implied 65.3% 51.0% 14.32% 12.08% YES medium 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-DET113 teamTotal 113 no implied 93.3% 83.0% 10.31% 9.20% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET ml 0 no shin 36.8% 15.0% 21.82% 19.62% YES high 0.3682 -- 16:29:07
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE ml 0 yes shin 36.8% 14.0% 22.82% 20.60% YES high 0.6318 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC125 teamTotal 125 no implied 99.8% 86.0% 13.79% 12.81% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET97 teamTotal 97 no implied 66.5% 68.0% -1.48% -2.97% no medium 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET94 teamTotal 94 no implied 21.5% 24.0% -2.46% -3.61% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET115 teamTotal 115 no implied 95.9% 95.0% 0.90% 0.57% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET112 teamTotal 112 no implied 91.6% 95.0% -3.40% -3.72% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET109 teamTotal 109 no implied 84.5% 89.0% -4.45% -5.10% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET106 teamTotal 106 no implied 25.6% 23.0% 2.58% 1.20% no medium 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET103 teamTotal 103 no implied 38.4% 34.0% 4.39% 2.61% no high 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET100 teamTotal 100 no implied 52.6% 47.0% 5.62% 3.67% no high 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE97 teamTotal 97 yes implied 85.5% 89.0% -3.54% -4.20% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE94 teamTotal 94 yes implied 92.4% 91.0% 1.41% 0.83% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE118 teamTotal 118 no implied 94.3% 86.0% 8.33% 7.41% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE115 teamTotal 115 no implied 88.6% 75.0% 13.62% 12.07% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE112 teamTotal 112 no implied 79.7% 58.0% 21.65% 19.31% YES medium 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE109 teamTotal 109 no implied 67.4% 42.0% 25.44% 22.70% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE106 teamTotal 106 no implied 53.0% 30.0% 22.99% 20.39% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE103 teamTotal 103 no implied 38.1% 23.0% 15.13% 13.07% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE100 teamTotal 100 yes implied 24.9% 18.0% 6.85% 5.42% YES medium 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET91 teamTotal 91 no implied 12.5% 9.0% 3.53% 2.73% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE105 teamTotal 105 yes implied 60.1% 55.0% 5.05% 3.16% no high 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET99 teamTotal 99 yes implied 81.3% 84.0% -2.74% -3.65% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET96 teamTotal 96 yes implied 89.4% 92.0% -2.59% -3.09% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET120 teamTotal 120 no implied 95.0% 100.0% -5.05% -5.05% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET117 teamTotal 117 no implied 90.0% 87.0% 2.95% 2.13% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET114 teamTotal 114 no implied 82.1% 78.0% 4.06% 2.80% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET111 teamTotal 111 no implied 71.1% 66.0% 5.11% 3.42% no medium 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET108 teamTotal 108 no implied 57.8% 52.0% 5.75% 3.81% no high 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET105 teamTotal 105 no implied 56.6% 59.0% -2.43% -4.05% no high 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET102 teamTotal 102 no implied 70.1% 75.0% -4.93% -6.15% no medium 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE99 teamTotal 99 yes implied 30.9% 34.0% -3.13% -4.56% no medium 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE96 teamTotal 96 yes implied 81.0% 80.0% 0.97% -0.16% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE93 teamTotal 93 yes implied 89.5% 92.0% -2.49% -3.00% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE117 teamTotal 117 no implied 96.1% 100.0% -3.89% -3.89% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE114 teamTotal 114 no implied 91.7% 85.0% 6.71% 5.75% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE111 teamTotal 111 no implied 84.4% 75.0% 9.35% 7.87% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE108 teamTotal 108 no implied 73.6% 69.0% 4.62% 3.02% no medium 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE102 teamTotal 102 no implied 45.1% 42.0% 3.12% 1.29% no high 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC8 spread 7.5 no shin 88.7% 37.0% 51.69% 47.77% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC5 spread 4.5 no shin 84.0% 27.0% 57.03% 52.74% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC14 spread 13.5 yes shin 94.9% 57.0% 37.93% 35.08% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC11 spread 10.5 no shin 92.3% 46.0% 46.28% 42.79% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET1 spread 0.5 no shin 34.0% 10.0% 24.01% 21.87% no low 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE9 spread 8.5 yes shin 59.1% 40.0% 19.12% 16.64% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE8 spread 7.5 yes shin 56.3% 37.0% 19.32% 16.84% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE7 spread 6.5 yes shin 53.5% 33.0% 20.50% 17.99% YES medium -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE6 spread 5.5 yes shin 50.6% 27.0% 23.65% 21.06% YES high -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE5 spread 4.5 yes shin 47.8% 24.0% 23.80% 21.26% YES high -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE4 spread 3.5 yes shin 45.0% 22.0% 22.97% 20.51% YES medium -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE3 spread 2.5 yes shin 42.1% 19.0% 23.15% 20.76% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE2 spread 1.5 yes shin 39.4% 13.0% 26.38% 23.98% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE10 spread 9.5 yes shin 61.9% 46.0% 15.87% 13.53% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE1 spread 0.5 yes shin 36.7% 14.0% 22.66% 20.45% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-226 total 226 no shin 16.0% 8.0% 7.97% 6.94% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-223 total 223 no shin 21.7% 12.0% 9.73% 8.39% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-220 total 220 no shin 28.5% 19.0% 9.53% 7.91% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-217 total 217 no shin 36.2% 25.0% 11.21% 9.31% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-214 total 214 yes shin 44.5% 37.0% 7.49% 5.53% YES medium 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-211 total 211 yes shin 53.0% 48.0% 5.02% 3.09% no high 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-208 total 208 yes shin 61.4% 58.0% 3.41% 1.60% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-205 total 205 yes shin 69.3% 69.0% 0.30% -1.21% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-202 total 202 yes shin 23.6% 22.0% 1.62% 0.33% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-199 total 199 yes shin 17.5% 15.0% 2.54% 1.50% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-196 total 196 yes shin 12.6% 9.0% 3.57% 2.77% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC13 spread 12.5 no shin 94.2% 53.0% 41.15% 38.05% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-225 total 225 no shin 84.7% 73.0% 11.65% 10.05% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-222 total 222 no shin 79.0% 68.0% 11.02% 9.25% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-219 total 219 no shin 72.3% 61.0% 11.34% 9.36% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-216 total 216 no shin 64.8% 56.0% 8.75% 6.76% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-213 total 213 no shin 56.5% 47.0% 9.53% 7.43% YES medium 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-210 total 210 yes shin 48.0% 40.0% 8.01% 5.99% YES high 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-207 total 207 yes shin 39.6% 33.0% 6.58% 4.72% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-204 total 204 yes shin 31.6% 26.0% 5.61% 3.98% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-201 total 201 yes shin 24.4% 20.0% 4.42% 3.05% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-198 total 198 yes shin 18.2% 15.0% 3.22% 2.13% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC ml 0 yes shin 21.3% 18.0% 3.31% 2.09% no high 0.7869 -- 14:20:57
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL ml 0 no shin 21.3% 18.0% 3.31% 2.09% no high 0.2131 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE18 spread 17.5 yes shin 80.9% 78.0% 2.88% 1.63% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET8 spread 7.5 yes shin 81.9% 77.0% 4.92% 3.60% no low 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET5 spread 4.5 no shin 24.3% 6.0% 18.26% 16.66% no high 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET2 spread 1.5 no shin 31.4% 10.0% 21.43% 19.45% no low 5 -- 14:20:57